Notes Tagged ‘mccain’

Can they really be this dumb?

March 11th, 2009
557. 

I can’t help but think the current Republican Party really is Beavis and Butthead, as Krugman stated a week or so ago. The more I read about their take on the current economy and other issues, I consistently come to the conclusion they are either really dumb, clueless people OR they are just playing dumb to act as a counter to Obama’s proposals. I’d like to give them the benefit of the doubt and go with the second option, but either way it’s a no win situation for the United States.

On the economy…

Sen. Richard Shelby, the ranking member of the Banking Committee on insolvent banks:

“Close them down, get them out of business. If they’re dead, they ought to be buried,” he said. “We bury the small banks; we’ve got to bury some big ones and send a strong message to the market. And I believe that people will start investing [again] in banks.”

And related, the Johns (McCain and Boehner) have both been echoing the ‘let them fail’ mantra and speaking out against nationalization. Do these fellows not know about the FDIC? The FDIC taking over banks (which they have to do, since they guarantee deposits — as well as all the other guarantess that have come through the bailouts, TARP, etc.) and putting them in receivership IS effectively nationalization.

Luckily Krugman is out in the media, putting the story straight:

On Shuster today, Krugman very calmly explained that if what they mean by “letting them fail” is that we put them into receivership, then they’re right. After all that’s what the FDIC is doing about twice a week now with banks all over the country. If it makes these bozos feel better to call it “letting them fail” rather than “nationalization” that’s fine with me. Maybe that’s a good way to phrase it. Unfortunately, it’s pretty obvious that they don’t understand it that way. They think these banks can go “bankrupt,” just close the doors and stop operating like the corner hardware store. Apparently they don’t understand that the government has to take over banks that are deemed to have failed.

And on “spending restraint” — Boehner and the Repub’s latest brilliant idea — Krugman effectively dismisses that

First, the Boehner quote:

“It’s time for government to tighten their belts and show the American people that we ‘get’ it.”

And Krugman:

What’s insane about Boehner’s remark? He’s talking about the current economic crisis as if it were a harvest failure — as if we faced a shortage of goods, so that the more you consume the less is left for me. In reality — even most conservatives understand this, when they think about it — we’re in a world desperately short of demand. If you consume more, that’s GOOD for me, because it helps create jobs and raise incomes. It’s in my personal disinterest to have you tighten your belt — and that’s just as true if you’re “the government” as if you’re my neighbor.

Plus, who is “the government”? It’s basically us, you know — the government spends money providing services to the public. Demanding that the government tighten its belt means demanding that we, the taxpayers, get less of those services. Why is this a good thing, even aside from the state of the economy?

Again, this is what the leaders of a powerful, if minority, party think. Can this country be saved?

Amen, Krugman.

Then to pile on, my favorite quote on the Repub’s economic “theories”:

I think it’s actually quite clear that these self-professed guardians of the free market and the capitalist system know less about economics than the average high school sophomore. And that is profoundly disturbing.

Then we move on to health care non-sense:

Seriously? Being healthy, fighting disease and sickness, etc. is a want or a privelage in our modern society? That is utterly ridiculous. I am fine if you don’t agree with nationalized healthcare (even though virtually every other industrialized country provides it to their citizens), but to swing so far in the opposite direction? I mean, owning a really fancy car or a mansion or even buying really expensive shoes can be classified as a want or privelage… but health care? Come on. They can’t be serious!?

And finally, the whole “I hope Obama fails” meme going through the Repubs. How is this not treason? Actively hoping and campaigning that the leader of your country fails?  In essence that your country fails? The Repubs called out the Dems for far less than that during the Bush years… and yet, they get away with this in the media. It’s purely strategic politics and selfish. Especially in times like this… but, I guess when all you have are really bad ideas, it’s all you have left.

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Live Blogging – Election Night

November 4th, 2008
455. 

Exciting night! Results are starting to pour in, so let’s get to it…

8:30pm — MSNBC is showing 103 – 34 with a lot of pre-9pm states still not called. My projections are showing 66 safe electoral votes are pretty safe to call for McCain (WV, AL, KS, MS, TX, AR), so that would put McCain at 100 even. Obama only has 17 outstanding from the ‘safe’ category, so put him at 120. Florida, Indiana, North Carolina, Virginia and Missouri are still the big ones that could be called soon.

8:35pm — Looking ahead to the 9pm closing states, Obama has 55 ‘safe’ electoral votes waiting for him with Minnesota, New York, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin. And Georgia was just called for McCain, so that knocks off Obama’s late push in that state.

8:40pm — Looking ahead, again, the 55 would put Obama at 158. Add Georgia into McCain and I’ll put him at 115. Add in the ‘safe’ 9pm McCain states (Louisiana, Nebraska, South Dakota, and Wyoming), which will give him 20 more electoral votes to bring his total to 135. So at this point, called states plus outstanding ‘safe’ states (through 9pm close) put it at 158 – 135.

8:48pm — Looking ahead to the few 10pm and later states, Obama has a big group in his ‘safe’ category (Iowa, California, Washington, Oregon and Hawaii) which will net him 84 electoral votes. That would put him at 242 when you look at called, plus ‘safe’ states. 28 electoral votes to win, with Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada left out there… Florida would clinch it, Virginia/Nevada/Colorado would do it, Ohio plus Colorado too. Anyway, lots of options for Obama. McCain, on the other hand, has 12 electoral votes in the after 10pm group, so that would put him at 147 in the called/’safe’ category.

9:02pm — NY, MN, WI and MI called for Obama. MSNBC has Obama at 175 to McCain’s 70.

9:09pm — Add in the safe 10pm states and you have 259 Obama. 11 EVs for a win!

9:12pm — And everyone on the West coast, please still keep voting! I want to see a staggering, no doubt win for Obama!

9:21pm — North Dakota and Arkansas for McCain. No surprises, there.

9:23pm — Seeing tweets over on Twitter than Fox News is calling Ohio for Obama. That’s the clincher folks. 259 + Ohio’s 20 = 279. Congrats to President-elect Obama!

9:30pm — All we need is CA, WA, OR, IA and HI to deliver their 84 electoral votes. Add to MSNBC’s 195 and you got the win. It’s over folks. No VA or FL. Plus MSNBC just called New Mexico to give him 200 even. It’s over folks. Call it!

9:44pm — read on Twitter, CNN called it for Obama citing it’s impossible for McCain to win. Only 21 or so minutes from the clinching Ohio win. Not too bad…

11pm — NBC/MSNBC called it for Obama. I’m packing it up and heading to bed. Too exciting, too much for words. A truly historic moment for Americans that I’m proud to have witnessed and supported. Go Obama!

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How things should shape up tomorrow night.

November 3rd, 2008
447. 

I took a look at the latest polls and projections on FiveThirtyEight.com and RealClearPolitics.com and mapped them out by when the polls close in each state to see how things should progress tomorrow night. All this assuming that states report fairly quickly and that the projections play out as expected.

By 8pm, the race should be almost even with the states closing before that time sending Obama 63 electoral votes to McCain’s 62 votes.

The polls closing in the eight o’clock hour should net Obama 117 electoral votes to bring him to 180, while McCain should pick up 90 to bring him to 152.  So by 9pm, Obama should have a +28 lead over McCain, with 206 electoral votes outstanding.

The nine o’clock hour should bring Obama 69 electoral votes to bring him up to 249, while McCain should pick up 33 votes to bring him to 185. Not a very exciting hour just looking at the total electoral votes divied out, however the bigger news is there are only 104 electoral votes left at this point, which means McCain is really running out of options to win.

If Obama can get to 186 electoral votes through the states that close before 10pm ET, he’ll be our next President. The safe states after 10pm are: Iowa, California, Washington, Oregon and Hawaii, which equal 84 electoral votes. So, given he has 63 electorals to play with at this point, Obama could lose Florida, Ohio and Virginia and still win. 

Even looking at the safe states perespective, Obama has 130 “safe” (polling at least +10% difference over McCain) electoral votes before the 10pm states close, so Obama only needs to pick up 56 electorals from these states where he is currently polling ahead: Florida (27), Virginia (13), North Carolina (15), Ohio (20), New Hampshire (4), Pennsylvania (21), Colorado (9), Minnesota (10), New Mexico (5), and Wisconsin (10).  

Including the states that are polling between +8% and +10% difference for Obama (Wisconsin, New Mexico, Minnesota, new Hampshire) will give him 29 additional electoral to bring his total to 159 – leaving 27 votes needed from Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, Colorado and Pennsylvania.

Looking at that group, the next best options are Colorado and Pennsylvania, which are polling between +5% to +7% Obama, so those two would give him 30 more electorals to put him over the top.  Which means he can lose Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia and still win.

So with that, the best bet for an Obama win is a win in Pennsylvania and Colorado. However, with 243 electoral votes coming from states polling +7% or greater for Obama, there are a few other likely options that can put him over the 270 mark:

  • Ohio and Colorado
  • Colorado, Virginia and Nevada
  • Pennsylvania and Virginia
  • Florida

All those states are polling between +3% and +7% for Obama, with the exception of Florida. So keep an eye on those states tomorrow night. Virginia and Florida close at 7pm ET, Ohio at 7:30pm, Pennsylvania at 8pm, Colorado at 9pm and Nevada at 10pm ET. Those results will determine the election.

Update: Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight has an hour-by-hour breakdown of what to watch for tomorrow on Newsweek, in much greater (and better quality) detail than what I did here. He’s the master. Definitely check the article and his site as tomorrow unfolds.

Here’s the spreadsheet:

<iframe width=’520′ height=’600′ frameborder=’0′ src=’http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pE5z1z8tQQj8E1r5i9X14fA&output=html&gid=0&single=true&widget=true’></iframe>

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Joe the (unlicensed) Plumber?

October 16th, 2008
410. 

It seems the McCain camp is really having problems vetting folks these days (especially someone you are going to mention almost two dozen times at the final debate)… the AP is reportng that Joe the Plumber is not a licensed plumber AND he owes $1200 in back taxes.

The head of the local plumbers’ union says added:

“He has no license whatsoever with the city of Toledo,” said Tom Joseph, the business manager for Local Union 50 of the Plumbers, Steamfitters and Service Mechanics, which has endorsed Obama. “He has no license in the state of Ohio. He has no contractor’s license in the state of Ohio. He is not a plumber. He works for a plumber.”

And how much is the business Joe works for worth?

According to Joseph, Newell Plumbing & Heating is far from a $250K-a-year operation. Newell is running “a two-man shop,” he said. “This is not a thriving business.”

Isn’t there a chance it could be worth $250K? “Oh, God no,” Joseph said. “Maybe if he sells him the house, the garage.” He explained that the address for the business “is where the man lives at.”

Maybe Joe slept at a Holiday Inn Express the night before he got his 15 minutes of fame.

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Women's Health, Extreme?

October 16th, 2008
408. 

John McCain at last night’s debate:

“Just again, the example of the eloquence of Sen. Obama. He’s health for the mother. You know, that’s been stretched by the pro-abortion movement in America to mean almost anything. That’s the extreme pro-abortion position, quote, ‘health.’”

So, women’s health is extreme? Just goes to show you – if you are female you shouldn’t vote for John McCain. You’ve been warned. (See the Women’s Issues section at the top of this page. Yeah I know I haven’t updated it in a while… McCain was doing a better job than I was anyway.)

Not to mention pro-abortion? No one is pro-abortion, John. That’s one fact that the right can’t seem to get through their heads. Just because you are pro-choice doesn’t mean you’ll choose abortion. It just means you don’t want white males in power making the decision for you. Simple, huh?

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Joe Six Pack

October 9th, 2008
394. 

This one is a little shorter than my previous post!

Just wanted to point out that I am glad someone in the media finally called Joe Six Pack what it really is…

George Packer in the New Yorker:

No one with a sharp, clear image in her head of a hard-pressed American would use a term like “Joe Six Pack,” an insulting cliché on the order of “the little people.”

Couldn’t agree more. Every time I hear Joe Six Pack, I wince. It’s sad that Palin actually thinks it is in the same ballpark as Hockey or Soccer Mom. Sorry, but insinuating that all average folks have to live for is a six pack is derogatory and ignorant. But it seems as if the whole Republican ticket is out of touch with the middle class. Not only does McCain not mention the term ‘middle class’, but he’s said a good definition of rich is $5 million and that Americans wouldn’t pick lettuce for $50 an hour.

Update: And that isn’t even mentioning that Palin is no where near an ‘average joe”.  The Palin household is worth at least $1.2 million dollars and they routinely pulled down six figure incomes, even before she was governor. And remember, this is ALASKA. She’s well off, face it.

The estimate includes 5 properties, a few planes, some boats, and don’t forget, the very non-elitist gubernatorial salary of $125K/year, but it doesn’t include the $11K the family receives every year in state oil dividends that help enable Alaskans to be so anti-tax.

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McCain wins debate!

September 26th, 2008
383. 

No, I am not making predictions (now that McCain is participating), it’s an online ad running on the Wall Street Journal site… already. From the Washington Post:

Although the fate of tonight’s presidential debate in Mississippi remains very much up in the air, John McCain has apparently already won it — if you believe an Internet ad an astute reader spotted next to this piece in the online edition of the Wall Street Journal this morning.

“McCain Wins Debate!” declares the ad which features a headshot of a smiling McCain with an American flag background. Another ad spotted by our eagle-eyed observer featured a quote from McCain campaign manager Rick Davis declaring: “McCain won the debate– hands down.”

Mission Accomplished for McCain?!

Speaking of debates, also came across this quote from radio-host Ed Schultz on the Indecision 2008 blog:

Capitol Hill sources are telling me that senior McCain people are more than concerned about Palin. The campaign has held a mock debate and a mock press conference; both are being described as “disastrous.”

One senior McCain aide was quoted as saying, “What are we going to do?”

The McCain people want to move this first debate to some later, undetermined date, possibly never. People on the inside are saying the Alaska Governor is “clueless.”

(which has become blatantly obvious, btw)

Nice selection, McCain! You’ve really been showing off your wise, thoughtful leadership skills lately, haven’t you?

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Will McCain punk out?

September 26th, 2008
380. 

So the first presidential debate is tonight and McCain is threatening to not show up, in order to work on the financial crisis. He’s even “suspended his campaign” (or not.)

First off, I have to agree with Obama on this one: Presidents should be able to handle more than one major task at one AND what better time to hear from the two candidates than now? I think American deservcs and neeeds to hear from both of them on this issue (and many others). The debates need to happen.

Secondly, from all the reports I’ve read McCain really hasn’t done much to help the process so far. The big meeting he called for with Bush, Obama and top leaders? McCain sat quietly for most of the meeting. And:

spoke only at the end to raise doubts about the rough compromise that the White House and congressional leaders were nearing.

So, not sure it is because he doesn’t understand the economy or the crisis or maybe he’s using this entire thing as a political stunt. Either to look “presidential” (by calling the meeting and ‘suspending’ his campaign to focus on the issue – even though Obama contacted him first suggesting they work together) or maybe he’s keeping quiet so a proposal is agreed upon that he can later vote against and say wasn’t the right plan (too much socialism, not enough ‘whatever’) so he can distance himself from Bush and the Republican Congress? I’d think probably the latter, since that is McCain’s biggest issue right now. He’s tied too closely to Bush and the Republicans who have pretty much destroyed our country (or at the very least gave us a major setback) through the war and handling of the economy.

What else does he have to gain by pushing back the debate? The McCain camp suggested the new date be in place of the VP debate (which would also need to be pushed back or as even suggested, canceled!), meaning Palin either gets more time to be brainwashed (which isn’t working so well – see my previous post) or even off the hook. Given her poor performances in softball-type interviews, I can’t imagine she’s too excited to take part in a debate. So, with a delayed debate the McCain camp wins either way.

Word is, Obama will make it a townhall type event if McCain doesn’t show up, which I can’t imagine the McCain camp would be too thrilled about – so I am betting McCain shows up and debates.

Speaking of Palin, I’ve seen a lot of buzz centered around McCain replacing Palin. (Even at the conservative National Review ) If that does happen, I just wanted to make sure McCain knows I am still available.

Update: Apparently, McCain wasn’t all that familiar with the House Republican plan he briefly and vaguely mentioned at the White House, either. You know, the one that caused all the negotiation and work to fall apart? Thanks McCain!

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Rearin' Heads

September 25th, 2008
375. 

If McCain wins, I’m scared. Palin is the most unqualified VP candidate ever. She can’t believe the stuff that comes out of her mouth, can she? I think a 5th grader could see through her statements.

<embed src=’http://www.cbs.com/thunder/swf30can10cbsnews/rcpHolderCbs-3-4×3.swf’ FlashVars=’link=http%3A%2F%2Fwww%2Ecbsnews%2Ecom%2Fvideo%2Fwatch%2F%3Fid%3D4478156n&partner=cbssports&vert=News&autoPlayVid=false&releaseURL=http://release.theplatform.com/content.select?pid=hdkxamTi8l_uCAJ2ORKSzF3marEPn7Ul&name=cbsPlayer&allowScriptAccess=always&wmode=transparent&embedded=y&scale=noscale&rv=n&salign=tl’ allowFullScreen=’true’ width=’425′ height=’324′ type=’application/x-shockwave-flash’ pluginspage=’http://www.macromedia.com/go/getflashplayer’></embed><br/><a href=’http://www.cbs.com’>Watch CBS Videos Online</a>

McCain Rearin’ Heads ad from Boing Boing

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Links of the Day [9.16.08]

September 16th, 2008
369. 

Some links from around the web:

  • The Sarah Palin baby name generator. My name: Rifle Panzer Palin
  • An amazing site that tracks the daily press mentions for Obama and McCain. Make sure to click on each day for more detail. Infographics galore!
  • One thing McCain has proved to me so far this election is he’s willing to do anything to win, including lie, distort and run an ugly campaign. The McCainpedia is tracking the lies – now at 54. It’s sad to see a once honorable man be driven to such low standards by the same people who destroyed him in the 2000 election.
  • With all this negative campaigning coming out of the McCain camp, can’t help but agree with Jeffrey Zeldman’s modest proposal:

    It is illegal to make false claims in a TV or radio commercial unless you are running for political office.

    If you’re selling toothpaste, your claims must be vetted by legal and medical professionals. But not if you’re selling a candidate.

    If you’re selling a candidate, not only can you lie about his record, but more to the point, you can lie about his opponent.

My biggest pet peeve so far this election season has been the media’s tactic of asking questions, listening to the answer and leaving it at that – regardless of what the answer is AND even if it is a boldface lie or distortion. I hate how most interviewers just move right on to the next question like they weren’t even listening.

And don’t even get me started on those news reports that cover McCain ads as if they are fact or show clips of him responding to criticism and cutting the clip right after he responds ‘no, that isn’t correct.’ Our local news showed a clip of McCain on The View when he was challenged on Palin’s record of earmarks (highest per capita in the nation, by the way) and they cut it right after he said something to the effect of ‘she never asked for earmarks as governor’ and left it at that… no reporting of the facts or any criticism of his answer. It boggles my mind.

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